Thursday, July 08, 2021

Harbinger of Doom?


 June's Material World column had as it focus on the possible refugee crisis from climate change. Already we see an increased frequency of weather disasters from droughts and floods that the experts blame as a consequence of climate change. 

The Guardian features an article by Peter Gleick, a hydrologist and climatologist, and a member of the US National Academy of Sciences highlights the potential for a worsening climate refugee crisis.

"...Worldwide, nearly 700 million people now live in low-lying coastal zones vulnerable to sea-level rise and coastal storms. That number could reach a billion by 2050. Island nations like the Maldives, Seychelles, Kiribati and others could be completely wiped out by rising seas and storms. Even a rise of only a meter (39in), almost certainly unavoidable now, will displace millions of people in Florida and along the Gulf coast, causing trillions of dollars in damages and property loss."

 "...If greenhouse gas emissions continue unabated, some models suggest that more than a million climate refugees may move from Central America and Mexico to the United States. In April, the UN high commissioner for refugees released a report showing that climate- and weather-related disasters already displace more than 20 million people a year, and a report from the Australian Institute for Economics and Peace suggests that more than a billion people could be displaced by climate and weather disasters by 2050."

"...How bad will it get? I don’t know because I don’t know how long our politicians will dither before finally dealing with the climate crisis. I don’t know because there are natural factors that could slightly slow or, more likely, massively speed up, the rate of change, causing cascading and accelerating disasters faster than we can adapt. But we know enough now to invest in reducing the emissions of climate-changing gases and to begin to adapt to those impacts we can no longer avoid. These changes are coming and the costs, especially to those left behind, will be beyond anything our disaster management systems have had to deal with in the past."

The climate crisis will create two classes: those who can flee, and those who cannot | Peter Gleick | The Guardian

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