Thursday, July 28, 2022

Nuclear War by Accident?

 In a speech in Washington at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, Sir Stephen Lovegrove, the UK’s national security adviser warned, the West risks the initiation of nuclear conflict with China or Russia because of a “breakdown of communication” with the two countries.

He believed the deterioration of communication with China and Russia had created a higher risk of “rapid escalation to strategic conflict”.

“The cold war’s two monolithic blocks of the USSR and Nato – though not without alarming bumps – were able to reach a shared understanding of doctrine that is today absent,” he said. “Doctrine is opaque in Moscow and Beijing, let alone Pyongyang or Tehran.”

Lovegrove, who was appointed to Whitehall’s most senior defence role in March 2021, added: “During the cold war, we benefited from a series of negotiations and dialogues that improved our understanding of Soviet doctrine and capabilities and vice versa. This gave us both a higher level of confidence that we would not miscalculate our way into nuclear war. Today, we do not have the same foundations with others who may threaten us in the future – particularly with China..."

Poor communication ‘raises risk of nuclear war with China or Russia’ | Nuclear weapons | The Guardian

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