Rising greenhouse gas emissions could cut food productivity
by one-third over next few decades. A study from the UK-based Oxford MartinFuture of Food Programme found that unless action is taken to reduce global
emissions, climate change—and the resulting droughts, floods, and severe
weather events—could cut food availability and in turn lead to roughly 530,000 additional deaths, predominantly in the Western Pacific region (264,000 additional deaths)
and Southeast Asia (164,000). Chelsea Harvey wrote at the Washington Post, that
the paper is "a sobering look at just a single facet of the climate change
dilemma. Of course, the impacts of climate change are expected to cause human
deaths in a variety of other ways as well. The increased risk of infectious
disease, natural disasters, forced migration and civil unrest are just a few
examples."
Previous research has shown how climate change will impact
global crop production. The Oxford study goes deeper, finding that climate
change could cut the projected improvement in food availability by about a
third by 2050, and lead to average per-person reductions in food availability
of 3.2 percent (99 kcal per day), in fruit and vegetable intake of 4 percent,
and red meat consumption of 0.7 percent. That could lead to changes in the
energy content and composition of diets, and these changes "will have
major consequences for health," said study leader Marco Springmann. "Climate
change is likely to have a substantial negative impact on future mortality,
even under optimistic scenarios," Springmann continued. "Adaptation
efforts need to be scaled up rapidly. Public-health programs aimed at
preventing and treating diet and weight-related risk factors, such as
increasing fruit and vegetable intake, must be strengthened as a matter of
priority to help mitigate climate-related health effects."
Ryan Zinn, political director of the fair trade advocacy
campaign Fair World Project has argued, "Industrial
agriculture is a key driver in the generation of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Synthetic
fertilizers, pesticides, heavy machinery, monocultures, land change,
deforestation, refrigeration, waste and transportation are all part of a food
system that generates significant emissions and contributes greatly to global
climate change. Addressing climate change on the farm can not only tackle the
challenging task of agriculture-generated GHGs," Zinn said, "but it
can also produce more food with fewer fossil fuels."
No one should go hungry. We could feed all the people. The
world made by oligarchs is filled the dying poor. When a very few have so much
- the many have very little. When the many have so little - there will be
millions who haven't enough to survive. Billions are going to suffer. Many more
than half a million will die. In a world where resources were more equitably
distributed and where fossil fuels weren't being protected from change by those
who profit from their use, those people would be able to survive.
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