The world is warming and the Sixth Extinction is happening. CO2
knows no borders; it’s worldwide. The urgent need for a meaningful solution to
the climate problem could hardly be more apparent. We potentially face unparalleled
catastrophes yet most Americans (and I dare say many from other nations) say
they are just not that worried about it according to a new poll. Fewer than one
in four Americans are extremely or very worried about it and 38 percent - were
not too worried or not at all worried. The problem isn’t simply climate change.
It is the crisis created by an economy that extracts wealth from communities
and puts it in the hands of a few and this is a crisis created by a political
system that doesn’t represent the interests of the people. Let’s construct a social
democracy that represents the people.
A newly published study warns that "unstoppable"
melting in West Antarctica could make a three-meter increase in sea level
"unavoidable." According to researchers at Germany's Potsdam
Institute for Climate Impact Research, the vulnerable Amundsen Sea sector of
West Antarctica "has most likely been destabilized." They point to
recent studies indicating that this area of the ice continent is "the
first element in the climate system about to tip." The researchers Johannes
Feldmann and Anders Levermann explained, "If the Amundsen Sea sector is
destabilized, then the entire marine part of West Antarctica will be discharged
into the ocean." If that is true, computer modeling suggests the
consequences could be catastrophic, initiating a process "which is then
unstoppable and goes on for thousands of years," said Feldmann, lead
author of the study.
Anders Levermann noted that if swift carbon reductions are
not implemented, "further greenhouse-gas emission will heighten the risk
of an ice collapse in West Antarctica and more unstoppable sea-level
rise." Otherwise, he warned, rising oceans could "destroy our future
heritage by consuming the cities we live in."
As governments set climate targets, they're working even harder
to expand the extractive global economy that could deepen the climate crisis.
The draft agreement they’ll be using in Paris as the basis for discussion
makes no reference to fossil fuels at all. Perhaps that should come as no
surprise, given that dirty energy companies and their financial backers are
among the sponsors of the summit. In the absence of a concrete plan to roll
back our reliance on coal, oil and gas, governments are offering climate
“solutions” that let countries keep on burning them. They’re entertaining ideas
like carbon capture, use, and storage, or CCUS — a technology that would allow
facilities like power plants to pump carbon emissions into the ocean or
underground geologic formations. The approach is unfeasibly expensive, risky,
and unproven at scale, but the U.S. and China favor it as an option that would
preserve the role of dirty fuels. The emerging concept of “net-zero” emissions
goes a step further. Under that scheme, countries would be allowed to “offset”
their carbon pollution with technologies that are meant to pull carbon dioxide
out of the air, like producing vast quantities of charcoal and adding it to
soils. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimates that 6 billion
hectares of biomass — that’s four times the total land used today to grow all
the world’s food — would be needed to match our fossil fuel use. That’s
ridiculous. We need to cut carbon, not find new places to bury it. We need a
new economy based on using less — and sharing it better.
All the things that scientists, climatologists,
oceanographers, have been warning about for many years will accelerate;
sea-level rise, increasing droughts and/or floods, deadly industrial pollution
from flooding, larger and more devastating storms on land and sea, the Gulf
Stream may already be in jeopardy, as well as other ocean currents, salinity,
and fragile ecosystems, global food production/harvest disruption (at best),
numerous extinctions as mentioned - the list is long and very little good,
especially for humans. Unless this is somehow reversed, it does not bode well
for our planet and its peoples. Climate change will degrade or destroy many
natural systems, often already under stress, on which humans rely for their
survival. Some areas that now support
agriculture or animal husbandry may become uninhabitable or capable only of
providing for greatly diminished populations.
Under the pressure of rising temperatures and increasingly fierce
droughts, the southern fringe of the Sahara desert, for example, is now being
transformed from grasslands capable of sustaining nomadic herders into an empty
wasteland, forcing local nomads off their ancestral lands. Many existing
farmlands in Africa, Asia, and the Middle East will suffer a similar fate. Rivers that once supplied water year-round
will run only sporadically or dry up altogether. Some people will stay and
fight to survive; others will migrate, almost assuredly encountering a far more
violent version of the hostility we already see toward immigrants and refugees
in the lands they head for.
The result, inevitably, will be a global epidemic of
resource civil wars and resource violence of every sort. Most of these
conflicts will be of an internal, civil character: clan against clan, tribe against
tribe, sect against sect, but however, don’t rule out struggles among nations
for diminished vital resources -- especially access to water. The risk of
“water wars” will arise when two or more countries depend on the same key water
source -- the Nile, the Jordan, the Euphrates, the Indus, the Mekong, or other
trans-boundary river systems -- and one or more of them seek to appropriate a
disproportionate share of the ever-shrinking supply of its water. Attempts by countries to build dams and
divert the water flow of such riverine systems have already provoked skirmishes
and threats of war. A future of great water stresses are not guaranteed to
provoke armed combat. Perhaps the states
involved will figure out how to share whatever limited resources remain and
seek alternative means of survival.
Nonetheless, the temptation to employ force is bound to grow as supplies
dwindle and millions of people face thirst and starvation. In such circumstances, the survival of the
state itself will be at risk, inviting desperate measures.
We have not yet reached
a point of no return. Socialists do hold out the hope that mankind can
determine its future and that of the planet. Climate change, for the first time
has created a situation where the governments of the world will have to step
beyond national thinking and embrace a higher goal: the safety of the ecosphere
and all its human inhabitants, no matter their national, ethnic, religious,
racial, or linguistic identities. Nothing
like this has ever been attempted before. It is into this debate that
socialists must make their stand. We must present the case that all hope is not
lost. We are striving for a new epoch where a new world will emerge.
“There really is no such thing as a human carrying
capacity,” writes Erle Ellis, a professor of geography and environmental
systems at the University of Maryland “We are nothing at all like bacteria in a
petri dish…. Our planet’s human-carrying capacity emerges from the capabilities
of our social systems and our technologies more than from any environmental
limits.”
New ways to distribute resources and wealth, especially by
disrupting the concentration upon money and power must be brought to the
attention of the people, too. Many socialists advocate the ideal of a gardened
planet cared for by those that live on it. We no longer seek to conquer and
dominate Nature but to live in harmony and in symbiotic relationships with the
world around us. Socialists are environmentalists to our core and seek a
non-exploitative economic system that permits co-operation and collaboration
between people that recognises the mutual benefits when we also fully understand
the responsibilities of our stewardship of the Earth. Nearly every human on the
planet cares. We just need to connect
the dots.
1 comment:
We are like a giant Titanic; Thinking that our way of life is unsinkable, with a string quartet of capitalists playing on to the bitter end, as the icebergs seal our fate.
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