Jonathan Morduch, a respected New York University economist, once called small loans “one of the most promising and cost-effective tools in the
fight against global poverty.” A series of six independently conducted
randomized controlled trials found that a variety of microlending programs had
little to no effect on participants’ income or financial well-being. None of
the six studies found statistically significant increases in household income
or spending. Four of the six found no change in food consumption; one found a
modest increase and the sixth found a significant decrease.
Morduch now says that the studies, along with earlier
research that reached similar conclusions, suggest that the impacts of
microcredit have been, at a minimum, “overhyped.” Some critics even claim that
microcredit left the poor worse off by saddling them with debt. News reports
went so far as to link suicides in India to the stress of struggling to pay
back microloans. The studies find no evidence that borrowers are, on average,
hurt by the loans. But they don’t appear to be helped much either. “The
takeaway is that there is not much of an effect,” said Esther Duflo, a
Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist who was a co-author of one of
the studies. “It doesn’t lead to the massive transformation in their quality of
life. That’s not to mean that it’s useless, certainly not to mean that it’s
hurtful … [but] it’s not the life-changing tool that it was presented to be.”
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