At the latest round of international climate talks in
Lima, Peru, melting glaciers in the Andes and recent droughts provided a
fitting backdrop for the negotiators' recognition that it is too late
to prevent climate change, no matter how fast we ultimately act to limit
it. They now confront an issue that many had hoped to avoid:
adaptation.
Adapting to climate change will carry a high price tag. Sea walls are
needed to protect coastal areas against floods, such as those in the
New York area when Superstorm Sandy struck in 2012. We need
early-warning and evacuation systems to protect against human tragedies,
such as those caused by Typhoon Haiyan in the Philippines in 2013 and
by Hurricane Katrina in New Orleans in 2005.
Cooling centers and emergency services must be created to cope with
heat waves, such as the one that killed 70,000 in Europe in 2003. Water
projects are needed to protect farmers and herders from extreme
droughts, such as the one that gripped the Horn of Africa in 2011.
Large-scale replanting of forests with new species will be needed to
keep pace as temperature gradients shift toward the poles.
Because adaptation won't come cheap, we must decide which investments are worth the cost.
A thought experiment illustrates the choices we face. Imagine that
without major new investments in adaptation, climate change will cause
world incomes to fall in the next two decades by 25% across the board,
with everyone's income going down, from the poorest farmworker in
Bangladesh to the wealthiest real estate baron in Manhattan. Adaptation
can cushion some but not all of these losses. What should be our
priority: reduce losses for the farmworker or the baron?
For the farmworker, and a billion others in the world who live on
about $1 a day, this 25% income loss will be a disaster, perhaps the
difference between life and death. Yet in dollars, the loss is just 25
cents a day.
For the land baron and other "one-percenters" in the U.S. with
average incomes of about $2,000 a day, the 25% income loss would be a
matter of regret, not survival. He'll find a way to get by on $1,500 a
day.
In human terms, the baron's loss pales compared with that of the farmworker. But in dollar terms, it's 2,000 times larger.
Conventional economic models would prescribe spending more to protect
the barons than the farmworkers of the world. The rationale was set
forth with brutal clarity in a memorandum leaked in 1992 that was signed
by Lawrence Summers, then chief economist of the World Bank. The memo
asked whether the bank should encourage more migration of dirty
industries to developing countries and concluded that "the economic
logic of dumping a load of toxic waste in the lowest-wage country is
impeccable and we should face up to that." Climate change is just a new
kind of toxic waste.
The "economic logic" of the Summers memo — later said to have been
penned tongue-in-cheek to provoke debate, which it certainly did — rests
on a doctrine of "efficiency" that counts all dollars equally. Whether
it goes to a starving child or a millionaire, a dollar is a dollar. The
task of economists, in this view, is to maximize the size of the total
dollar pie. How it's sliced is not their problem. A different way to set
adaptation priorities is to count each person equally, not each dollar.
This approach rests on the ethical principle that a healthy environment
is a human right, not a commodity to be distributed on the basis of
purchasing power, or a privilege to be distributed on the basis of
political power.
This equity principle is widely embraced around the world, from the
affirmation in the U.S. Declaration of Independence that people have an
inalienable right to "life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness," to
the guarantee in the South African Constitution that everyone has the
right "to an environment that is not harmful to their health or
well-being." It puts safeguarding the lives of the poor ahead of
safeguarding the property of the rich.
In the years ahead, climate change will confront the world with hard
choices: whether to protect as many dollars as possible, or to protect
as many people as we can.
from here
Would that this thought experiment could have gone a little further and extended to offer the choice of socialism. Removing the elephant in the room - the profit motive - would afford us a whole new prospect for equity and methods of dealing with the problems of climate change suggested above.
Along with all the other problems which have capitalism in common as their cause a global democratic call for true equity, socialism, is the obvious choice.
For any new readers seeking more information please go to our website: www.worldsocialism.org/spgb
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