Friday, November 30, 2012

Overproduction in the Container Shipping Industry

The‭ ‬Financial Times‭ ‬of‭  ‬19th November‭ ‬2012‭ ‬contained two articles‭ '‬Maersk to switch away from shipping‭' ‬and‭ '‬Sea freight trade still trapped in doldrums‭' ‬by Mark Odell and Richard Milne,‭ ‬which highlighted‭  ‬the current capitalist crisis of overproduction at the Maersk shipping line,‭ ‬and in the wider container shipping industry.

The Maersk Line contributed half of the revenue in‭ ‬2008‭ ‬to its parent company,‭ ‬the Danish business conglomerate AP Moller-Maersk Group‭ (‬in‭ ‬2011‭ ‬they had a profit of‭ ‬18‭ ‬billion Danish Kroner‭)‬.‭ ‬The Maersk Line is the largest container shipping operator in the world with‭ ‬550‭ ‬vessels,‭ ‬2.2‭ ‬million TEU's‭ (‬twenty foot equivalent units‭)‬,‭ ‬and accounts for a‭ ‬16%‭ ‬market share of the worlds container shipping industry.‭ ‬But in‭ ‬2011,‭ ‬Maersk Line had a net loss of‭ ‬$540‭ ‬million and only a‭ “‬modest profit‭” ‬is expected in‭ ‬2012.‭ ‬In the wider container shipping industry the‭  “‬market spot rates hit a rock bottom of‭ ‬$450‭ ‬per TEU in December‭ ‬2011,‭ ‬a long way below shipping lines‭' ‬operating costs‭”  (‬Financial Times‭)‬.‭

The Maersk Group plan to switch investment to other businesses in the group.‭ ‬They are keen to develop more in ports and drilling with an earnings target of‭ ‬$1‭ ‬billion a year each by‭ ‬2018,‭ ‬and development in oil production where they are aiming to increase from‭ ‬265,000‭ ‬to‭ ‬400,000‭ ‬barrels by‭ ‬2020,‭ ‬and increase annual investment from‭ ‬$3‭ ‬billion to‭ ‬$5‭ ‬billion.‭ ‬In‭ ‬2011‭ ‬the Maersk oil division made a profit of‭ ‬$2.1‭ ‬billion,‭ ‬and drilling and ports made profits of‭ ‬$500‭ ‬million and‭ ‬$650‭ ‬million respectively.‭ ‬Nils Andersen,‭ ‬Chief Executive of the Maersk Group‭  ‬announced‭ “‬we will move away from the shipping side of things and go towards the higher profit generators and more stable businesses.‭ ‬We are not going to invest significant amounts in Maersk Line.‭ ‬We have sufficient capacity to grow in line with the market.‭ ‬The industry is definitely not earning enough money to be able to invest going forward.‭ ‬We need to see better rates and higher profits‭”‬.‭  ‬The aim of the Group is to have the Maersk Line account for‭ ‬25-30%‭ ‬of‭  ‬revenue‭  ‬in contrast to the state of things in‭ ‬2008.

During the economic good times prior to the crash of‭ ‬2008,‭ ‬volumes of containerised goods rocketed and capacity struggled to keep up with demand,‭  ‬new tonnage was ordered during this boom time and are being introduced now such as the‭ ‬CMA CGM Line's huge vessel‭ (‬16,000‭ ‬TEU's‭) ‬ Marco Polo,‭ ‬but this will be overshadowed by the Maersk Line's own Triple E ships which will be‭ ‬18,000‭ ‬TEU's and introduced in‭ ‬2013.‭  ‬The‭ ‬Financial Times writes that in the container shipping industry‭  “‬an obsession with scale to drive down costs and the defence of market share,‭ ‬rather than a focus on the bottom line‭ (‬profit‭)‬,‭ ‬drive the desire for ever larger,‭ ‬more fuel-efficient vessels‭”‬.‭  ‬When the downturn hit in‭ ‬2008‭ ‬container rates fell off a cliff,‭ ‬leaving many in the industry struggling for survival as new vessels continued to arrive.

The container shipping sector is massively oversupplied,‭ ‬plagued by overcapacity,‭ ‬falling freight rates that regularly do not cover operating costs,‭ ‬consumer demand remains in the doldrums in a weak global economy.‭ ‬London Shipping Consultants Drewry believe‭ “‬at the moment,‭ ‬there is too much capacity in the market because there are too many ships being delivered and demand is weak and getting weaker‭”‬.‭  ‬Shipbrokers Braemar Seascope conclude that‭ “‬the market could be oversupplied by a third for the next three years‭”‬.‭

The container shipping industry is a good example of‭  ‬what Engels described in‭ ‬Anti-Duhring as‭ “‬the periodic alteration of speculative production booms and commercial crises,‭ ‬and to the whole of the present anarchy of production‭”‬.‭ ‬This‭ “‬anarchy of production‭” ‬in the shipping sector has led to overproduction which causes crisis in capitalism.‭  ‬Marx writes in‭ ‬Capital Volume‭ ‬3‭ ‬ that‭ “‬overproduction of capital always involves overproduction of commodities‭” ‬and‭ “‬overproduction of means of production...‭ ‬produces disruption and stagnation in the capitalist production process,‭ ‬crisis,‭ ‬and the destruction of capital‭”‬.‭  ‬The overproduction in the container shipping industry has seen a lowering of the rates of profit in what Marx described as‭ “‬the progressive tendency for the general rate of profit to fall is thus simply the expression,‭ ‬peculiar to the capitalist mode of production‭”‬.‭

When socialism takes over existing world production there will be a practical system of world production,‭ ‬distribution and consumption‭  ‬operating directly and solely for human needs.‭ ‬The world wide container shipping industry would be an integral part of world socialist distribution of goods.‭ ‬The capitalist‭ “‬anarchy of production‭” ‬in the shipping industry would be over,‭ “‬overproduction‭” ‬would not be a concept recognised in socialism when there is production for use and needs.

Steve Clayton‭


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