By calling a referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union in June 2016, David Cameron was counting on a victory for the Remain side to contain the Eurosceptics in the Tory Party and see off the challenge from UKIP. Far from overcoming the divisions within the Tory Party, the resulting victory for the Leave side has blown them wide apart.
David Cameron
immediately cut his losses and ran, leaving his successor, Theresa
May, to pick up the pieces. She attempted to gain the upper hand in
her Party by calling a General Election a year later, but
unfortunately for her, she lost her majority and is now more
vulnerable to the Tory Party's warring factions.
The referendum
result has had repercussions for Scotland and Northern Ireland, the
two regions where most voters opted for Remain. The SNP government
has used it as ammunition to press for a second Scottish Independence
referendum. Leaving the EU could jeopardise the Northern Ireland Good
Friday agreement, as this was predicated on there being a common
customs area between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic.
Initially,
partly to poach votes from UKIP and increase support in Brexit areas,
Theresa May pursued a so-called hard Brexit, where the UK would leave
both the customs union and the single market. However, facing up to
the reality that most British businesses need to stay close to the EU
and to avoid a hard border in Ireland, on the 6th July, the
Government at Chequers produced plans which amounted to a "softer"
Brexit. There would be a harmonisation with EU rules in trading with
goods (but not with services). However, this was too much for some
and there were howls of treachery and several ministers have
resigned, including David Davis and Boris Johnson. Tory Brexiteers
have threatened to mount a leadership challenge. May backed down and
accepted amendments from a hardline Tory Brexit group to water down
her Customs bill. This sparked a rebellion among furious Tory Remain
MPs. May seems to be caught in a pincer movement between the Remain
and Brexit factions of her Party and her authority is ebbing away.
Some have argued that a Second Referendum on Brexit is needed to
resolve this impasse. Others say that another General Election is
required.
We are treated
to the unusual spectacle of the Tory Party being unable to serve the
interests of the majority of the British capitalist class, who favour
staying in the Custom Union. Ironically, it is Jeremy Corbyn's Labour
Party that appears to better represent the interests of British
capitalism on this issue.
This political
crisis is really a matter for the capitalist class only, but the
working class has been dragged into it. At the 2016 referendum, we
argued that workers had no interest in supporting either the Leave or
Remain campaigns, as either way they will still have to deal with the
problems of capitalism, such as job insecurity, low wages and
unemployment, and urged them to write ‘World Socialism’ over
their ballot papers. Should there be a second referendum, we will
again be advising workers to do the same.
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